Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 10.828412 12.362473 14.042710 16.020690 18.286972 20.804229 23.814897
2026-01-18 8.483883 10.428817 12.724677 15.638664 19.244991 23.570004 29.163427
2026-01-25 7.133509 9.241699 11.866456 15.382096 19.980504 25.808434 33.784175
2026-02-01 6.171417 8.346852 11.176354 15.137932 20.561751 27.757334 38.078600
2026-02-08 5.426921 7.618289 10.578471 14.885610 21.021686 29.493448 42.155482
2026-02-15 4.827832 7.006072 10.049655 14.633335 21.400405 31.084325 46.104626
2026-02-22 4.581382 6.856877 10.137943 15.240632 23.029203 34.555386 53.066160
2026-03-01 4.271607 6.576738 9.997838 15.477831 24.102987 37.268661 59.103818
2026-03-08 3.930015 6.211279 9.688614 15.413436 24.684551 39.249957 64.142434
2026-03-15 3.617734 5.859801 9.364133 15.283966 25.131752 41.029292 68.979777
2026-03-22 3.476653 5.766979 9.434921 15.788356 26.637438 44.621766 77.129570
2026-03-29 3.330767 5.651297 9.454526 16.201269 28.012615 48.093554 85.365562
2026-04-05 3.210824 5.572012 9.532212 16.726908 29.640611 52.159466 95.083502
2026-04-12 2.943168 5.215253 9.108348 16.339331 29.622468 53.338374 99.679164
2026-04-19 2.722576 4.922324 8.769920 16.070608 29.785514 54.837526 104.979742
2026-04-26 2.525726 4.655528 8.455339 15.815185 29.943115 56.324580 110.369579
2026-05-03 2.346241 4.405886 8.151333 15.551226 30.055396 57.722584 115.691665
2026-05-10 2.183121 4.173803 7.861157 15.287323 30.139755 59.062077 120.998963
2026-05-17 2.148858 4.184776 8.028057 15.922624 32.043848 64.112813 134.356230
2026-05-24 2.068502 4.099234 8.002146 16.170769 33.184458 67.721000 145.012724
2026-05-31 1.957528 3.944213 7.828181 16.103402 33.666701 70.014297 153.046625
2026-06-07 1.847590 3.782928 7.629522 15.967957 33.991613 71.998177 160.571156
2026-06-14 1.814195 3.776302 7.742867 16.495634 35.774183 77.220899 175.823118